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Daily Run

2026-05-19 20:00:14

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Three consecutive down days and matching panic headlines ('worst week since', 'market crash fears', 'panic selling') create mild fear signal. However VIX remains low at 18.13 and Fear & Greed sits at 61 (greed), so conditions fall short of playbook macro triggers.

Fear/Greed

61

VIX

18.13

Down Days

3

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Consecutive down days met but price remains above 50 DMA and drawdown only 2.23 percent; no deployment until VIX exceeds 25 or Fear & Greed drops below 25.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$860.71

Price well above 50 DMA and drawdown only 7.58 percent; buy zone requires sub-50 DMA or 10 percent drawdown.

HOLD
AAPL$298.98

Near 52-week high with RSI 83; no macro-fear or technical trigger active.

HOLD
VTI$360.02

Three down days noted but price above 50 DMA and drawdown below 5 percent threshold.

WATCH
XLE$61.295

Above both 50 and 200 DMA; energy sector showing relative strength today.

HOLD
VMC$259.66market_driven

21.57 percent drawdown and below both DMAs; monitor for further market-driven weakness before scaling.

WATCH
KULR$3.62

Never-sell flag is false and 65 percent drawdown appears fundamental/speculative rather than macro fear.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$298.981.39%

Pullback driven by broad market noise despite strong fundamentals and RSI over 80.

Goes away? No, Apple is not going away because of its 2B+ active devices and ecosystem lock-in.

Notable Risks

  • -Oil price volatility (-3.95 percent today)
  • -Small-cap underperformance (IWM -5.05 percent drawdown)
  • -Upcoming SEP meeting volatility in late June

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$298.98
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror