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Conviction Scout

AI-discovered stocks and ETFs that pass the Kyle-worthy filter. All four criteria required. Runs daily + on demand.

VMCVulcan Materials CompanyMaterials

“Produces and supplies construction aggregates like crushed stone, sand, and gravel for infrastructure projects.”

New

Durable Demand

Infrastructure and construction materials are essential for building and maintaining roads, buildings, and public works, which continue even in recessions due to government spending and maintenance needs.

Dominant Position

Largest producer of construction aggregates in the US with significant market share, pricing power from regional monopolies, and a wide moat due to quarry locations and permits.

American Interest

Directly supports US infrastructure buildout and reindustrialization through supply of materials for roads, bridges, and manufacturing facilities.

Risk

Regulatory changes or environmental restrictions on quarrying that could limit expansion or increase costs.

52-week range: 180-250

Status4/12/2026
TXNTexas Instruments IncorporatedSemiconductors

“Designs and manufactures analog and embedded semiconductors used in electronics and industrial applications.”

New

Durable Demand

Semiconductors are fundamental components in everyday electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment, with demand persisting through economic cycles as technology integration continues.

Dominant Position

Global leader in analog semiconductors with the largest market share, strong pricing power, and a wide moat from extensive patent portfolio and manufacturing scale.

American Interest

Bolsters US semiconductor supply chain reshoring and national security through domestic chip production critical for defense and infrastructure.

Risk

Intensifying competition from Asian chipmakers or supply chain disruptions in rare materials.

52-week range: 150-220

Status4/12/2026
XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR FundIndustrials

“Tracks large US industrial companies involved in manufacturing, aerospace, defense, and engineering.”

New

Durable Demand

The industrials sector provides essential manufacturing and infrastructure services that are needed for economic functioning in all conditions, supported by ongoing maintenance and government contracts.

Dominant Position

Largest ETF in the industrials category by AUM and liquidity, offering broad exposure with low expense ratio.

American Interest

Exposes investors to US reindustrialization, defense spending, and infrastructure development through holdings in key American companies.

Risk

Economic downturns leading to reduced capital spending in manufacturing and construction.

52-week range: 100-140

Status4/12/2026
GDGeneral DynamicsDefense / aerospace

“Builds military vehicles, submarines, aircraft, and provides IT services for defense.”

New

Durable Demand

National defense needs persist through economic cycles as governments prioritize security.

Dominant Position

One of the top two U.S. defense contractors with leading positions in submarines and combat systems, wide moat from government contracts.

American Interest

Core supplier to U.S. military, supporting national defense and aerospace priorities.

Risk

Reductions in U.S. defense budget due to political shifts

52-week range: 220-310

Status4/5/2026
SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETFSemiconductors / hardware

“Tracks major semiconductor companies involved in chip design and manufacturing.”

New

Durable Demand

Semiconductors are essential for electronics, autos, and tech, with demand holding up in recessions due to ongoing innovation and replacement needs.

Dominant Position

One of the top semiconductor ETFs by AUM and liquidity, outperforming peers in trading volume.

American Interest

Exposes to U.S. supply chain reshoring and semiconductor production, aligned with CHIPS Act and national tech priorities.

Risk

Geopolitical tensions disrupting global chip supply chains

52-week range: 150-250

Status4/5/2026
FDXFedEx CorporationTransportation / logistics

“Provides global package delivery and logistics services.”

New

Durable Demand

Shipping and logistics are essential for commerce and supply chains, needed in all economic conditions.

Dominant Position

Number two in U.S. parcel delivery with strong pricing power and network moat, competing closely with UPS.

American Interest

Critical to U.S. supply chain and transportation infrastructure, benefiting from reindustrialization and e-commerce growth.

Risk

Rising fuel costs or economic slowdowns reducing shipping volumes

52-week range: 220-300

Status4/5/2026
UPSUnited Parcel ServiceTransportation / logistics

“Delivers packages and manages logistics for businesses and consumers worldwide.”

New

Durable Demand

People and businesses always need shipping and delivery services, even in recessions, as e-commerce and supply chains persist.

Dominant Position

One of the top two global package delivery companies with strong pricing power due to its extensive network and scale.

American Interest

Critical to US supply chain and logistics infrastructure, supporting national commerce and reshoring efforts.

Risk

Increasing competition from e-commerce giants like Amazon building their own delivery networks.

52-week range: 120-180

Status3/29/2026
XLUUtilities Select Sector SPDR FundWater / utilities

“Holds major US utility companies providing electricity, gas, and water services.”

New

Durable Demand

Essential services like power and water are needed constantly, regardless of economic conditions.

Dominant Position

Largest utilities ETF by AUM and liquidity, tracking the S&P utilities sector.

American Interest

Tied to US infrastructure and energy reliability, supporting national priorities in utilities and grid stability.

Risk

Regulatory changes or shifts in energy policy that could impact utility profitability.

52-week range: 60-80

Status3/29/2026
FCXFreeport-McMoRanMaterials / mining

“Mines copper, gold, and molybdenum for industrial and energy uses.”

New

Durable Demand

Copper is essential for infrastructure, electronics, and energy transition, with demand holding up through economic cycles.

Dominant Position

One of the world's largest copper producers with significant pricing power from its scale and reserves.

American Interest

Supports US supply chain reshoring for critical materials used in infrastructure, defense, and energy independence.

Risk

Volatility in commodity prices due to global supply disruptions or economic slowdowns.

52-week range: 35-55

Status3/29/2026
NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationDefense

“Designs and builds advanced aircraft, missiles, and defense electronics for the US military.”

New

Durable Demand

National defense needs remain constant regardless of economic conditions, with consistent government spending.

Dominant Position

One of the top two US defense contractors with a wide moat in aerospace and missile systems.

American Interest

Core supplier to US defense and national security priorities.

Risk

Reductions in US defense budget due to geopolitical shifts

52-week range: 420-520

Status3/22/2026
SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETFSemiconductors

“Tracks leading US semiconductor companies producing chips for electronics and tech hardware.”

New

Durable Demand

Semiconductors are essential for everyday devices and infrastructure, with demand persisting through economic cycles.

Dominant Position

Largest semiconductor ETF by AUM and liquidity, providing broad exposure to the sector.

American Interest

Supports US supply chain reshoring and semiconductor manufacturing via initiatives like the CHIPS Act.

Risk

Global supply chain disruptions from trade tensions or shortages

52-week range: 180-260

Status3/22/2026
CSXCSX CorporationTransportation

“Operates a major US railroad network transporting goods like coal, chemicals, and intermodal freight.”

New

Durable Demand

Essential freight transportation continues through recessions as goods movement is vital for the economy.

Dominant Position

One of the top two Class I railroads in the US with extensive network and pricing power.

American Interest

Critical to US supply chain, logistics, and infrastructure for domestic trade and reshoring.

Risk

Shift to alternative transport modes like trucking due to regulatory changes

52-week range: 30-40

Status3/22/2026
XOMExxon Mobil CorporationEnergy

“Explores, produces, and refines oil and natural gas worldwide with a focus on US operations.”

New

Durable Demand

Energy is essential for transportation, heating, and electricity regardless of economic conditions.

Dominant Position

One of the largest integrated oil companies globally with significant pricing power and a wide moat from scale and reserves.

American Interest

Supports US energy independence through domestic production and supply chain security in fossil fuels.

Risk

Accelerated global shift to renewable energy reducing long-term demand for fossil fuels

52-week range: 95-125

Status2/28/2026
PAVEGlobal X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETFIndustrials / Infrastructure

“Invests in US companies involved in infrastructure projects like construction, materials, and engineering.”

New

Durable Demand

Infrastructure maintenance and development are ongoing needs for economic stability and growth, even in recessions.

Dominant Position

One of the top infrastructure ETFs by AUM and liquidity, providing broad exposure to the sector.

American Interest

Directly benefits from US infrastructure buildout and reindustrialization initiatives like the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act.

Risk

Delays in government funding or policy changes reducing infrastructure spending

52-week range: 30-45

Status2/28/2026
INTCIntel CorporationSemiconductors / Hardware

“Designs and manufactures semiconductors and computer processors.”

New

Durable Demand

Semiconductors are fundamental to electronics, computing, and technology infrastructure that persist through economic cycles.

Dominant Position

Leading position in CPU market with a wide moat from intellectual property and manufacturing scale.

American Interest

Key player in US semiconductor supply chain reshoring, supported by CHIPS Act for national security and tech independence.

Risk

Intense competition from rivals like AMD and TSMC eroding market share

52-week range: 35-55

Status2/28/2026
RTXRTX CorporationDefense / aerospace

“Provides advanced aerospace and defense systems like missiles, radars, and aircraft engines.”

New

Durable Demand

National defense and security needs persist through economic cycles as governments prioritize military capabilities.

Dominant Position

One of the top two global aerospace and defense contractors with strong pricing power and a wide moat from proprietary technology and long-term contracts.

American Interest

Critical to US defense infrastructure and military supply chain, benefiting from increased defense spending and national security priorities.

Risk

Reductions in US defense budget due to fiscal constraints or policy shifts.

52-week range: 85-115

Status2/14/2026
ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFDefense / aerospace

“Tracks US companies involved in aerospace and defense, including manufacturers of aircraft, missiles, and related systems.”

New

Durable Demand

The aerospace and defense sector provides essential services for national security that endure economic downturns.

Dominant Position

Largest ETF in the aerospace and defense category by assets under management and liquidity.

American Interest

Focused on US-based companies supporting defense infrastructure and national security priorities.

Risk

Geopolitical de-escalation leading to lower defense spending.

52-week range: 120-150

Status2/14/2026
CVXChevron CorporationEnergy

“Explores for, produces, and refines oil and natural gas worldwide.”

New

Durable Demand

Energy consumption for heating, transportation, and electricity remains essential in all economic conditions.

Dominant Position

One of the top two US-based integrated oil majors with significant pricing power and a wide moat from vast reserves and infrastructure.

American Interest

Key player in US energy independence and supply chain reshoring through domestic production and refining.

Risk

Accelerated shift to renewable energy reducing demand for fossil fuels.

52-week range: 140-180

Status2/14/2026
LMTLockheed Martin CorporationDefense / Aerospace

“World's largest defense contractor building fighter jets, missiles, and aerospace systems for the US military.”

New

Durable Demand

National defense needs remain constant regardless of economic cycles, with ongoing global threats ensuring steady government spending.

Dominant Position

Clear #1 in US defense contracting with a wide moat from proprietary technology, long-term contracts, and scale that competitors can't match.

American Interest

Core to US national defense and military superiority, directly supporting American security priorities and supply chain for advanced weaponry.

Risk

Reduction in US defense budget due to shifting political priorities or peace dividends.

52-week range: 420-520

Status2/14/2026
XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR FundEnergy

“ETF holding major US energy companies focused on oil, gas exploration, and production.”

Added

Durable Demand

Energy is essential for daily life, transportation, and industry, with demand persisting through recessions as people still need fuel and power.

Dominant Position

Top energy sector ETF by AUM and liquidity, with over $35 billion in assets and high daily trading volume.

American Interest

Supports US energy independence by investing in domestic oil and gas producers, aligning with national priorities for secure supply chains.

Risk

Accelerated shift to renewables reducing long-term demand for traditional fossil fuels.

52-week range: 80-100

Status2/14/2026
UNPUnion Pacific CorporationTransportation / Logistics

“Major US railroad company transporting goods like chemicals, coal, and agricultural products across the western United States.”

New

Durable Demand

Essential freight transportation is needed for supply chains in all economic conditions, as goods must move regardless of recessions.

Dominant Position

#1 or #2 in US rail freight with a vast network moat, pricing power from limited competition, and economies of scale.

American Interest

Critical to US infrastructure and supply chain reshoring, enabling efficient domestic logistics and supporting reindustrialization efforts.

Risk

Increased competition from trucking or regulatory changes impacting rail operations.

52-week range: 220-280

Status2/14/2026

The Four Criteria

1. Durable Demand

Product/service persists through recessions

2. Dominant Position

Clear #1 or #2 in their market, wide moat

3. American Interest

Tied to US infrastructure, defense, energy, supply chain

4. Simple Business

Explainable in one sentence at a dinner party