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Conviction Scout

AI-discovered stocks and ETFs that pass the Kyle-worthy filter. All four criteria required. Runs daily + on demand.

RTXRTX CorporationDefense / aerospace

“Provides advanced aerospace and defense systems like missiles, radars, and aircraft engines.”

New

Durable Demand

National defense and security needs persist through economic cycles as governments prioritize military capabilities.

Dominant Position

One of the top two global aerospace and defense contractors with strong pricing power and a wide moat from proprietary technology and long-term contracts.

American Interest

Critical to US defense infrastructure and military supply chain, benefiting from increased defense spending and national security priorities.

Risk

Reductions in US defense budget due to fiscal constraints or policy shifts.

52-week range: 85-115

Status2/14/2026
ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETFDefense / aerospace

“Tracks US companies involved in aerospace and defense, including manufacturers of aircraft, missiles, and related systems.”

New

Durable Demand

The aerospace and defense sector provides essential services for national security that endure economic downturns.

Dominant Position

Largest ETF in the aerospace and defense category by assets under management and liquidity.

American Interest

Focused on US-based companies supporting defense infrastructure and national security priorities.

Risk

Geopolitical de-escalation leading to lower defense spending.

52-week range: 120-150

Status2/14/2026
CVXChevron CorporationEnergy

“Explores for, produces, and refines oil and natural gas worldwide.”

New

Durable Demand

Energy consumption for heating, transportation, and electricity remains essential in all economic conditions.

Dominant Position

One of the top two US-based integrated oil majors with significant pricing power and a wide moat from vast reserves and infrastructure.

American Interest

Key player in US energy independence and supply chain reshoring through domestic production and refining.

Risk

Accelerated shift to renewable energy reducing demand for fossil fuels.

52-week range: 140-180

Status2/14/2026
LMTLockheed Martin CorporationDefense / Aerospace

“World's largest defense contractor building fighter jets, missiles, and aerospace systems for the US military.”

New

Durable Demand

National defense needs remain constant regardless of economic cycles, with ongoing global threats ensuring steady government spending.

Dominant Position

Clear #1 in US defense contracting with a wide moat from proprietary technology, long-term contracts, and scale that competitors can't match.

American Interest

Core to US national defense and military superiority, directly supporting American security priorities and supply chain for advanced weaponry.

Risk

Reduction in US defense budget due to shifting political priorities or peace dividends.

52-week range: 420-520

Status2/14/2026
XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR FundEnergy

“ETF holding major US energy companies focused on oil, gas exploration, and production.”

Added

Durable Demand

Energy is essential for daily life, transportation, and industry, with demand persisting through recessions as people still need fuel and power.

Dominant Position

Top energy sector ETF by AUM and liquidity, with over $35 billion in assets and high daily trading volume.

American Interest

Supports US energy independence by investing in domestic oil and gas producers, aligning with national priorities for secure supply chains.

Risk

Accelerated shift to renewables reducing long-term demand for traditional fossil fuels.

52-week range: 80-100

Status2/14/2026
UNPUnion Pacific CorporationTransportation / Logistics

“Major US railroad company transporting goods like chemicals, coal, and agricultural products across the western United States.”

New

Durable Demand

Essential freight transportation is needed for supply chains in all economic conditions, as goods must move regardless of recessions.

Dominant Position

#1 or #2 in US rail freight with a vast network moat, pricing power from limited competition, and economies of scale.

American Interest

Critical to US infrastructure and supply chain reshoring, enabling efficient domestic logistics and supporting reindustrialization efforts.

Risk

Increased competition from trucking or regulatory changes impacting rail operations.

52-week range: 220-280

Status2/14/2026

The Four Criteria

1. Durable Demand

Product/service persists through recessions

2. Dominant Position

Clear #1 or #2 in their market, wide moat

3. American Interest

Tied to US infrastructure, defense, energy, supply chain

4. Simple Business

Explainable in one sentence at a dinner party