| 2026-04-14 20:02:40 | AAPL | conviction | Watchful | $258.79 | BUY | Price below 50-day MA and drawdown from 52-week high exceeds 10%, matching buy triggers; social sentiment points to irrational dip from supply chain rumors without fundamental issues. |
| 2026-04-08 20:01:37 | AAPL | conviction | Watchful | $258.9 | BUY | Below 50dma and drawdown -10.3% exceeds 10% threshold; social sentiment indicates overblown supply chain rumors, aligning with macro fear building via headlines. |
| 2026-04-06 20:02:01 | AAPL | conviction | Watchful | $258.86 | BUY | Price below 50DMA and drawdown of 10.31% exceeds 10% threshold; matches buy triggers amid broader tech sell-off, not fundamental issues. |
| 2026-04-05 20:01:58 | AAPL | conviction | Watchful | $255.92 | BUY | Price below 50DMA (255.92 < 260.36) and drawdown of 11.33% exceeds 10%; meets buy triggers, with social sentiment indicating irrational dip from supply chain rumors amid building macro fear. |
| 2026-04-01 20:01:34 | AAPL | conviction | Watchful | $255.63 | BUY | Price below 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high at 11.43% exceeds 10% trigger; aligns with macro fear building and social sentiment indicating overblown sell-off given strong fundamentals. |
| 2026-03-31 20:01:11 | CAT | irrational_dip | Watchful | $708.12 | BUY | Stock beaten down on cyclical fears despite robust infrastructure spending outlook and durable demand in industrials. | Goes away? Is this company going away? No because America will always build; CAT is the dominant heavy equipment company globally. |
| 2026-03-31 20:01:10 | AAPL | conviction | Watchful | $253.79 | BUY | Price below 50DMA (253.79 < 260.02) and drawdown of -12.07% exceeds 10% trigger; aligns with macro fear building and social notes recent sell-off overdone given strong fundamentals. |
| 2026-03-30 20:02:02 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $246.63 | BUY | Price below 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high exceeds 10%, and macro fear triggers are active; fits consumer moat thesis amid broader market panic. |
| 2026-03-30 20:02:01 | CAT | conviction | Opportunity | $667.57 | BUY | Price below 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high exceeds 10%, and macro fear triggers are active; aligns with thesis of durable infrastructure demand, strengthened by easing cycle tailwind. |
| 2026-03-30 20:02:00 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $631.99 | BUY | Conditions match the opportunity tier with fear building via consecutive down days, high VIX, low Fear & Greed, panic headlines, and SP500 below 50DMA with over 5% drawdown; deploy 20% dry powder into VTI as the primary macro fear instrument. |
| 2026-03-29 20:00:59 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $248.8 | BUY | Price below 50DMA and drawdown 13.8% >10% from 52w high, matches macro fear buy trigger with strong consumer moat intact. |
| 2026-03-29 20:00:58 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $634.09 | BUY | Fear building with VIX >25, drawdown >5%, below 50DMA, and matching panic keywords; deploy 20% dry powder into VTI as primary macro fear instrument, despite only 2 consecutive down days. |
| 2026-03-29 20:00:58 | CAT | conviction | Opportunity | $695.4 | BUY | Price below 50DMA and drawdown 11.95% >10% from 52w high, aligns with macro fear buy trigger in an easing cycle which is a tailwind for industrials. |
| 2026-03-26 20:01:54 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $252.89 | BUY | Price below 50DMA and drawdown from 52wk high >10%, aligning with macro fear buy triggers despite slight positive change today. |
| 2026-03-26 20:01:53 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $645.17 | BUY | Fear building with VIX >25, panic headlines present, SP500 drawdown >5%, and below 50DMA, triggering a soft buy signal for deploying 20% dry powder into VTI as the primary macro fear instrument. |
| 2026-03-26 20:01:53 | CAT | conviction | Opportunity | $703.03 | BUY | Price below 50DMA and drawdown from 52wk high >10%, combined with macro fear triggers and easing cycle tailwind strengthening the signal for industrials. |
| 2026-03-25 20:01:48 | CAT | irrational_dip | Opportunity | $718.96 | BUY | Dip due to cyclical fears and macro uncertainty, overlooking robust infrastructure spending and dominance in heavy equipment. | Goes away? Is this company going away? No because America will always build, and CAT holds global leadership in industrials with enduring demand. |
| 2026-03-25 20:01:47 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $656.755 | BUY | Macro fear triggers partially met with VIX >25, drawdown >5%, below 50DMA, and panic headlines; deploy 20% dry powder into VTI as fear is building but not at panic levels. |
| 2026-03-25 20:01:47 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $252.62 | BUY | Price below 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high exceeds 10%; aligns with macro fear buy trigger and social sentiment indicating irrational dip. |
| 2026-03-23 20:06:57 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $655.77 | BUY | Macro fear triggers are partially met with VIX above 25, S&P 500 drawdown over 5%, below 50DMA, and panic headlines present, indicating fear building for a soft buy signal; deploy 20% dry powder into VTI. |
| 2026-03-23 20:06:57 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $251.49 | BUY | Price below 50DMA (251.49 < 260.98), drawdown of 12.86% exceeds 10%, and buy_on_macro_fear aligns with current conditions; scale in per tranches during easing cycle tailwind. |
| 2026-03-22 20:01:29 | CAT | conviction | Opportunity | $680.88 | BUY | Below 50DMA, drawdown over 10% from 52-week high, and macro fear present; easing cycle strengthens the buy signal for industrials. |
| 2026-03-22 20:01:29 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $247.99 | BUY | Below 50DMA, drawdown over 10% from 52-week high, and macro fear present; aligns with thesis of strong consumer moat. |
| 2026-03-22 20:01:28 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $648.57 | BUY | VIX above 25, S&P 500 drawdown over 5% below 50DMA, and panic headlines trigger a soft buy signal for accumulating on fear, despite zero consecutive down days. |
| 2026-03-19 20:01:34 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $659.82 | BUY | Panic headlines trigger the 'worst week since' pattern, a high-confidence buy signal per personal patterns, despite not fully meeting all quantitative triggers like 3 consecutive down days or VIX above 25; deploy 20% dry powder into VTI as fear builds. |
| 2026-03-19 20:01:34 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $248.96 | BUY | Below 50DMA and drawdown >10% from 52w high, aligned with macro fear triggers. |
| 2026-03-18 20:01:57 | CAT | conviction | Opportunity | $693.85 | BUY | Price below 50DMA and drawdown over 10% from 52-week high, triggered by macro fear in an easing cycle which strengthens the buy signal for infrastructure plays. |
| 2026-03-18 19:52:23 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $662.22 | BUY | Panic headlines trigger the 'worst week since' buy signal from the playbook, with VTI below 50DMA and drawdown over 5%, despite only 1 consecutive down day. Deploy 20% dry powder as fear builds on FOMC day. |
| 2026-03-18 19:52:23 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $249.385 | BUY | Below 50DMA and drawdown of 13.59% exceeds 10% trigger, combined with macro fear signals. Scale in per playbook tranches on this dip. |
| 2026-03-17 20:08:42 | AAPL | irrational_dip | Watchful | $254.23 | BUY | Recent sell-off due to supply chain rumors, despite strong fundamentals and upcoming product launches, with no fundamental connection to core thesis. | Goes away? Is this company going away? No because deepest consumer moat in tech with 2B+ active devices; people don't leave the ecosystem. |
| 2026-03-17 20:08:42 | CAT | irrational_dip | Watchful | $702.51 | BUY | Stock down on cyclical fears, but infrastructure bill optimism not priced in, and dip appears market-driven without fundamental issues. | Goes away? Is this company going away? No because America will always build; CAT is the dominant heavy equipment company globally. |
| 2026-03-07 03:20:20 | CAT | irrational_dip | Opportunity | $680.9 | BUY | Beaten down on cyclical fears but infrastructure trends and easing rates provide tailwinds. | Goes away? Is this company going away? No because America will always build, and CAT dominates heavy equipment globally. |
| 2026-03-06 14:37:37 | VTI | macro_fear | Opportunity | $670.977 | BUY | VIX exceeds 25, panic headlines align with the 'worst week since' pattern signaling potential short-term bottom, market is below 50DMA with high negative breadth; deploy 20% dry powder despite consecutive down days at 2 (below min 3) and drawdown below 5%. |
| 2026-03-06 14:37:37 | AAPL | conviction | Opportunity | $254.76 | BUY | Price below 50DMA (254.76 < 264.23), drawdown of 11.73% exceeds 10%, and macro fear is building; aligns with triggers for scaling in during fear. |
| 2026-02-14 05:17:04 | AAPL | conviction | Watchful | $255.78 | BUY | Meets buy triggers with price below 50DMA and drawdown of -11.38% exceeding 10%; social sentiment indicates irrational dip due to supply chain rumors despite strong fundamentals, aligning with buy_on_macro_fear in a building fear environment. |