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Manual Trigger

Daily Run

2026-04-20 20:00:46

Watchful70% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

A high count of panic headlines matches playbook keywords, indicating building fear sentiment. However, quantitative metrics like VIX below 25, Fear & Greed in greed territory, and minimal SP500 drawdown do not confirm elevated panic. Market performance is mixed with some sectors and indices showing gains, suggesting softness worth monitoring.

Fear/Greed

70

VIX

19.13

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

8

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Panic headlines are present and align with the 'worst week since' trigger, but key quantitative and sentiment thresholds (e.g., VIX >25, Fear & Greed <25, consecutive down days >=3, SP500 drawdown >=5%) are not met, so no buy signal is triggered yet.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$798.75

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown from 52wk high is only 0.38% (below 10% threshold), and macro fear is not sufficiently elevated to trigger buy_on_macro_fear.

HOLD
AAPL$0

Data unavailable, but assuming no triggers met based on available information; no evidence of price below 50DMA or drawdown >=10%.

HOLD
VTI$350.242

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown from 52wk high is only 0.43% (below 5% threshold), consecutive down days is 1 (below 3), and macro fear triggers are not met.

HOLD
XLE$55.08

Price is below 50DMA but above 200DMA, and drawdown from 52wk high is 13.21% (below 15% threshold); all conditions not satisfied.

HOLD
VMC$294.82

Price is above both 50DMA and 200DMA, and drawdown from 52wk high is 10.95% (below 15% threshold).

HOLD
KULR$2.595market_driven

Price is below both 50DMA and 200DMA, and drawdown from 52wk high is 81.78% (exceeds 15% threshold), matching buy triggers for this conviction position.

BUY

Notable Risks

  • -Disconnect between panic headlines and actual market performance (e.g., gains in DIA and XLE) may indicate overblown sentiment or lagging data
  • -Geopolitical tensions impacting oil prices could extend volatility in energy sector
  • -Incomplete data for key tickers (e.g., SPY, QQQ, AAPL) reduces assessment reliability

Signals Fired (1)

KULRconviction$2.595
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted