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Manual Trigger

Daily Run

2026-02-14 05:16:18

Watchful75% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows some softness with SP500 below 50DMA and VIX elevated at 20.6, accompanied by 3 panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'recession fears'. However, no consecutive down days, small drawdown of -1.98%, and positive breadth with most sectors up temper the fear signal. Fear & Greed data is unavailable, so it does not contribute to triggers.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

20.6

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Macro fear is building due to headlines and technicals like below 50DMA, but key triggers like 3+ consecutive down days, VIX above 25, drawdown over 5%, and Fear & Greed below 25 are not met, so no buy signal fires.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$774.2

Price is above 50DMA and drawdown of -1.98% is below 10% threshold; macro fear not sufficient to trigger buy_on_macro_fear independently.

HOLD
AAPL$255.78market_driven

Meets buy triggers with price below 50DMA and drawdown of -11.38% exceeding 10%; social sentiment indicates irrational dip due to supply chain rumors despite strong fundamentals, aligning with buy_on_macro_fear in a building fear environment.

BUY
VTI$336.65

Below 50DMA but drawdown of -2.26% below 5% threshold, no 3+ consecutive down days, and macro fear not elevated enough to trigger buy.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$255.78-11.38%

Sell-off driven by supply chain rumors and broader tech sector bearishness, not connected to Apple's strong fundamentals like 2B+ active devices and ecosystem moat.

Goes away? Is this company going away? No because Apple has a durable consumer moat in tech with consistent demand for hardware and services.

Notable Risks

  • -Tech earnings disappointments could prolong sector weakness
  • -Geopolitical tensions may impact oil and energy sectors unpredictably
  • -Anticipation of inflation data could add volatility ahead of FOMC

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLconviction$255.78
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted