◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-05-20 20:00:58

All Clear75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Market closed higher with SPY/QQQ up over 1% and VIX at 17.4. Fear & Greed at 61 (greed) with zero consecutive down days. Panic headlines present but not supported by price action or quantitative triggers.

Fear/Greed

61

VIX

17.42

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers met: VIX below 25, Fear & Greed well above 25, zero down days, and indices trading above 50/200 DMAs.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$872.701

Price well above 50 DMA and drawdown only 6.3% from highs; no macro fear to trigger buy.

HOLD
AAPL$302.25

Near 52-week high with RSI 84; not in buy zone per triggers.

HOLD
VTI$364.16

Trading above both DMAs with minimal drawdown; macro conditions not supportive.

HOLD
XLE$59.8

Above 50 DMA; drawdown under 6% and no macro panic confirmation.

HOLD
VMC$263.25market_driven

Below both 50 and 200 DMAs with 20% drawdown; monitor for sustained weakness before scaling.

WATCH
KULR$3.62

Above 50 DMA but deep structural drawdown; not a conviction buy today.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Tech rotation and recession headlines could extend volatility into next week
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror