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Daily Run

2026-02-28 03:41:50

Watchful75% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows some softness with 2 consecutive down days and VIX at 19.86, below the 25 threshold. Panic headlines are present, matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'recession fears,' indicating building fear. However, quantitative triggers like drawdown percentage and breadth are not fully met, suggesting fear is not yet elevated.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

19.86

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Macro fear is building due to headlines and minor drawdowns, but key triggers like 3+ consecutive down days, VIX above 25, and 5% S&P 500 drawdown are not met, so no buy signal yet.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$742.83

Price is above 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high is 5.95%, below the 10% trigger; no macro fear buy signal active.

HOLD
AAPL$264.18

Price is below 50DMA, but drawdown from 52-week high is 8.47%, below the 10% trigger; no macro fear buy signal active.

HOLD
VTI$338.77

Price is below 50DMA with 2 consecutive down days, but drawdown from 52-week high is 1.64% below 5% trigger, and consecutive down days below 3.

HOLD
XLE$55.92

Price is above 50DMA and 200DMA, with drawdown from 52-week high at 0.41%, well below 15% trigger.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Geopolitical tensions driving oil price volatility
  • -Tech sector earnings disappointments amid bearish sentiment
  • -Potential retail margin calls exacerbating selling pressure
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted