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Daily Run

2026-04-16 02:34:25

All Clear95% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market indices showed positive performance today with SPY up 0.79% and no consecutive down days. Fear & Greed Index at 56 indicates greed, and VIX is below 25, suggesting low volatility. Despite some panic headlines, quantitative triggers like drawdowns and moving averages do not indicate fear.

Fear/Greed

56

VIX

18.17

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers are met, including consecutive down days below minimum, Fear & Greed above threshold, VIX below threshold, and no significant SP500 drawdown or moving average breaches.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$770.17

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high is only 3.55% (below 10% threshold), and no macro fear signal to trigger buy.

HOLD
AAPL$266.43

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high is 7.69% (below 10% threshold), and no macro fear signal to trigger buy.

HOLD
VTI$345.24

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high is minimal at 0.05% (below 5% threshold), no consecutive down days, and no macro fear signal.

HOLD
XLE$55.76

Price is below 50DMA but above 200DMA (both below required for trigger), and drawdown of 12.13% is below 15% max trigger.

HOLD
VMC$291.25

Price is above both 50DMA and 200DMA, and drawdown of 12.03% is below 15% max trigger.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Energy sector weakness with XLE down 0.34% and low RSI at 29.11, potentially signaling oversold conditions but not a buy trigger yet.
  • -Panic headlines present despite market gains, which could indicate lingering sentiment volatility.
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted