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Daily Run

2026-09-29 20:00:14

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Two consecutive down days with fear/greed at 32 and three panic headlines including 'worst week since' and 'recession fears'. VIX remains low at 16.16 and SPX is above both 50/200 DMA, so fear is present but not at playbook thresholds.

Fear/Greed

32

VIX

16.16

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

VTI slightly below 50 DMA but drawdown only 2.57% and consecutive down days at 2. No macro fear triggers met for deployment.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$827.165

Price near 50 DMA and drawdown 22.94% but macro fear insufficient to trigger buy.

HOLD
AAPL$329.37market_driven

Minor drawdown of 4.62% and above 50 DMA; social notes strong fundamentals.

WATCH
VTI$375.24

Below 50 DMA but drawdown and down-day count below triggers.

HOLD
XLE$61.545

Below 50 DMA but drawdown 6.99% below 15% max trigger.

HOLD
VMC$242.82market_driven

Below both DMAs with 26.66% drawdown exceeding 15% trigger; market-driven dip.

BUY
KULR$2.492

Large drawdown but never_sell flag is false and no macro confirmation.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$329.374.62%

Strong fundamentals and ecosystem ignored in broad tech rotation per social sentiment.

Goes away? No because 2B+ active devices and consumer moat remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -Election uncertainty and China stimulus effects could extend volatility.

Signals Fired (2)

AAPLirrational_dip$329.37
BUY
VMCconviction$242.82
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror