◆ iron harvest
SignalHistorySignalsWindowsScoutDry PowderConfigDigest

Daily Run

2026-02-14 22:55:48

Watchful85% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows some recovery today with most indices up, but panic headlines including 'worst week since' narratives indicate building fear. VIX is elevated at 20.6 but below the 25 threshold, and no consecutive down days or significant drawdown met. Fear & Greed data is unavailable, limiting full assessment.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

20.6

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Panic headlines match sentiment triggers, but quantitative criteria like consecutive down days (0 < 3), VIX (20.6 < 25), and S&P 500 drawdown (-1.98% < 5%) are not met; monitor for escalation without deploying dry powder.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$774.2

Price above 50DMA and drawdown (-1.98%) below 10% threshold; no buy triggers met despite easing cycle tailwind for industrials.

HOLD
AAPL$255.78market_driven

Below 50DMA and drawdown (-11.38%) exceeds 10% threshold; social sentiment indicates overblown drop with strong fundamentals, aligning with buy_on_macro_fear amid building panic headlines.

BUY
VTI$336.65

Below 50DMA but drawdown (-2.26%) below 5% and consecutive down days (0 < 3); macro fear not sufficient for buy signal.

HOLD
XLE$54.35

Above 50DMA and 200DMA with drawdown (-1.61%) below 15% threshold; no buy triggers met despite bullish sector sentiment.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Tech sector bearish sentiment and earnings disappointments could pressure AAPL further
  • -Inflation fears and rate hike concerns in headlines may extend volatility despite today's recovery
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted