◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-08-11 20:00:44

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

No macro fear triggers active. VIX low, Fear & Greed in greed territory, only 2 down days, and minimal drawdowns across major indices. Two panic headlines noted but conditions do not match playbook thresholds.

Fear/Greed

61

VIX

15.28

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

Fear metrics far from activation levels; no deployment warranted.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$843.22market_driven

Below 50DMA and >10% from high but no macro fear present to trigger scale-in.

WATCH
AAPL$304.91market_driven

Below 50DMA with 11.5% drawdown; individual triggers met but playbook emphasizes macro fear context.

WATCH
VTI$380.68

Above 50DMA with negligible drawdown.

HOLD
XLE$60.93

Above both DMAs.

HOLD
VMC$287.795

Near 50DMA, no macro fear signal.

HOLD
KULR$2.805

Never-sell flag false and extreme drawdown without macro support.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$304.9111.51%

Strong earnings and ecosystem moat ignored amid rotation; matches social sentiment note.

Goes away? No because 2B+ active devices and durable consumer demand persist regardless of short-term rotation.

Notable Risks

  • -CAT 21% drawdown persists without macro catalyst
  • -SEP meeting volatility 36 days out

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$304.91
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror