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Daily Run

2026-06-14 20:00:04

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Markets closed higher with zero consecutive down days and VIX below 25. Fear & Greed at 34 and two panic headlines exist, but no quantitative triggers (VIX, drawdown, breadth) are met and overall sentiment leans cautious rather than panicked.

Fear/Greed

34

VIX

17.68

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers active: 0 down days, VIX 17.68, Fear&Greed 34, SPX above DMAs. Pre-FOMC rate uncertainty may explain mild headlines.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$910.57

Price above 50 DMA and only 3.83% off high; no buy triggers met.

HOLD
AAPL$291.13market_driven

Drawdown 8.28% and RSI 34 but still above 50 DMA; pre-FOMC rotation, not yet at 10% trigger.

WATCH
VTI$366.36

Above 50 DMA, only 2.23% drawdown, zero down days.

HOLD
XLE$57.55

Slightly below 50 DMA but drawdown 9.31% well under 15% trigger.

HOLD
VMC$286.47

Drawdown 13.48% but price above 50 DMA and under 15% max trigger.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$291.138.28%

Broad tech rotation and pre-FOMC uncertainty ignoring 2B+ device ecosystem and cash flows.

Goes away? No, Apple is not going away because its installed base and ecosystem lock-in remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -SEP dot-plot volatility on June 17 could extend rotation

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$291.13
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror