◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-09-14 20:00:14

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows mild softness with only one down day and VIX below 25. Fear & Greed at 31 is fear territory but above the 25 trigger. No panic headlines or macro fear conditions met.

Fear/Greed

31

VIX

16.89

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

0

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers active (only 1 down day, VIX 16.89, FG 31). Pre-FOMC rate uncertainty may be contributing to softness but does not meet buy criteria.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$783.38market_driven

Below 50DMA and 27% drawdown meets technical triggers but macro fear component absent; pre-FOMC window adds uncertainty.

WATCH
AAPL$333.08

Above 50DMA with only 3.3% drawdown; no buy trigger active.

HOLD
VTI$374.635

Slightly above 50DMA with 2.72% drawdown; below 5% threshold.

HOLD
XLE$64.515

Above both DMAs; no drawdown trigger met.

HOLD
VMC$250.507market_driven

Below DMAs with 24% drawdown but macro fear absent so no deployment.

WATCH
KULR$2.38market_driven

Large drawdown but never-sell flag is false and macro conditions not met.

WATCH

Notable Risks

  • -Pre-FOMC volatility expected with SEP/dot plot
  • -CAT and VMC showing notable single-stock weakness beyond broad market
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror