◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-07-21 20:00:15

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Three panic headlines present including 'worst week since 2022' and 'market turmoil' but VIX remains low at 16.92, Fear & Greed at 41, zero consecutive down days, and major indices above 50/200 DMA. Conditions show mild fear without playbook thresholds being crossed.

Fear/Greed

41

VIX

16.92

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers met (VIX <25, FG not <25, no down days, not below DMAs). Panic headlines noted but insufficient for opportunity tier.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$889.85market_driven

17.1% drawdown from 52w high and price below 50DMA meets buy triggers; easing cycle provides tailwind.

BUY
AAPL$327.696

Price above 50DMA with only 2.18% drawdown; no trigger conditions met.

HOLD
VTI$369.555

Slightly above 50DMA with minimal 1.37% drawdown; macro conditions not met.

HOLD
XLE$58.525

Above both DMAs with strong RSI; no buy trigger.

HOLD
VMC$276.58

16.46% drawdown but price action and sector breadth do not align with macro fear signal.

HOLD
KULR$2.94

Never-sell flag is false and extreme drawdown appears fundamental/speculative.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Election volatility
  • -Tech earnings reactions
  • -Oil supply concerns

Signals Fired (1)

CATconviction$889.85
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror