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Daily Run

2026-04-21 20:00:55

Watchful75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows minor softness with two consecutive down days and elevated panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'market crash'. However, Fear & Greed Index at 67 indicates greed, VIX below 25 suggests contained volatility, and SP500 drawdown is only 0.84%. Overall, sentiment is bearish on social media but quantitative triggers for significant fear are not met.

Fear/Greed

67

VIX

20.64

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

8

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Consecutive down days at 2 (below min 3), Fear & Greed at 67 (above 25), VIX at 20.64 (below 25), and minimal drawdown do not trigger a buy signal, but panic headlines warrant monitoring for potential escalation.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$800.545

Price above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown of 2.4% is below 10% threshold; no macro fear trigger active.

HOLD
AAPL$266.17

Price above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown of 7.78% is below 10% threshold; no macro fear trigger active.

HOLD
VTI$347.82

Price above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown of 1.12% is below 5% threshold; consecutive down days at 2 below 3; no macro fear trigger.

HOLD
XLE$55.855

Price below 50DMA but above 200DMA; drawdown of 11.98% is below 15% threshold; requires both below 50DMA and 200DMA for trigger.

HOLD
VMC$290.81

Price above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown of 12.17% is below 15% threshold.

HOLD
KULR$2.57market_driven

Price below 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown of 81.95% exceeds 15% threshold; matches individual buy triggers, though macro fear is not elevated.

BUY

Notable Risks

  • -High RSIs across indices (e.g., SPY at 90.34) indicate overbought conditions that could lead to a pullback
  • -Bearish social sentiment and panic headlines may amplify volatility despite strong quantitative metrics
  • -Energy sector outlier with XLE up but low RSI at 26.37 suggests potential oversold rebound or further weakness

Signals Fired (1)

KULRconviction$2.57
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror