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Daily Run

2026-04-01 20:00:34

Watchful85% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows some drawdown from highs and below 50-day moving average with three panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'correction territory'. However, today's positive price action across major indices and zero consecutive down days temper the fear signal. VIX is elevated but just below the 25 threshold, and Fear & Greed data is unavailable.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

24.53

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Macro fear is building but not at opportunity level due to lack of consecutive down days, VIX slightly below trigger, and positive market performance today; monitor for escalation rather than deploy dry powder.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$730.18

Price is above 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high is only 7.55%, below the 10% trigger; does not meet buy criteria despite social mentions of irrational dip.

HOLD
AAPL$255.63market_driven

Price below 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high at 11.43% exceeds 10% trigger; aligns with macro fear building and social sentiment indicating overblown sell-off given strong fundamentals.

BUY
VTI$323.185

Price below 50DMA and drawdown at 6.17% exceeds 5% trigger, but zero consecutive down days fails the 3-day minimum; macro fear not sufficient for buy signal.

HOLD
XLE$58.97

Price above both 50DMA and 200DMA, with drawdown at 7.08% below the 15% max trigger; does not meet buy criteria despite negative change today.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Geopolitical tensions driving oil price volatility and energy sector weakness
  • -Tech sector earnings disappointments contributing to broader market drawdowns
  • -Anticipation of inflation data potentially exacerbating sell-offs

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLconviction$255.63
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted