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Daily Run

2026-02-14 04:28:30

Watchful85% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows some softness with SPY below its 50DMA and elevated VIX at 20.6, alongside three panic headlines indicating building fear. However, consecutive down days are zero, and the drawdown is only -1.98%, with most indices closing higher today. Fear & Greed data is unavailable, but sentiment suggests caution without full panic.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

20.6

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Some fear indicators like panic headlines and VIX above average are present, but key triggers like consecutive down days, VIX >25, and drawdown >5% are not met, warranting monitoring without deployment.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$774.2

CAT is trading well above its 50DMA and 200DMA with a minimal drawdown of -1.98%, not meeting the 15% max drawdown trigger for buying.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Tech sector weakness could spread if earnings disappointments continue
  • -Geopolitical tensions may drive oil volatility higher
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted