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Daily Run

2026-06-22 20:00:13

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Panic keywords present and Fear & Greed at 34, but VIX low, only 1 down day, and SPX drawdown just 2%. Fear is visible in headlines but not yet at playbook thresholds.

Fear/Greed

34

VIX

17.55

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

VTI above 50DMA, drawdown only 1.56%, consecutive down days =1, VIX<25. No macro buy trigger met.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$1021.58

Price above 50DMA and near 52w high; no buy triggers active.

HOLD
AAPL$297.08

Above 50DMA and drawdown 6.4% <10% threshold.

HOLD
VTI$368.85

Above 50DMA with minimal drawdown.

HOLD
XLE$54.05

Drawdown 14.85% just below 15% trigger and below 50DMA but not yet at max_drawdown_trigger.

HOLD
VMC$304.95

Above 200DMA and drawdown only 7.9%.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$297.086.4%

Broad tech rotation and headline-driven selling despite strong buybacks and services growth.

Goes away? No, 2B+ active devices and ecosystem lock-in remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -Oil at multi-month lows and XLE near 15% drawdown could extend if supply concerns persist.

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$297.08
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror