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Daily Run

2026-07-23 20:00:15

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Mild softness with 2 consecutive down days and Fear & Greed at 39. VIX at 19.45 and zero panic headlines mean conditions fall well short of macro fear triggers.

Fear/Greed

39

VIX

19.45

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

0

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear signal activated; consecutive down days at 2, VIX below 25, and Fear & Greed above 25.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$894.291market_driven

Below 50DMA and 16.69% drawdown meets price triggers, but macro fear is absent so no deployment yet.

WATCH
AAPL$321.61

Only 3.99% drawdown and trading above 50DMA; does not meet buy triggers.

HOLD
VTI$364.84

Drawdown of 2.63% below the 5% threshold for VTI buy trigger.

HOLD
XLE$59.415

Trading above both 50DMA and 200DMA with strong RSI; no dip to act on.

HOLD
VMC$275.04market_driven

Below both DMAs with 16.93% drawdown, but macro fear required for action is missing.

WATCH
KULR$2.77fundamental

59.86% drawdown but never-sell flag is false and thesis is speculative; skip.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$321.613.99%

Dip driven by broad macro caution despite solid fundamentals and product pipeline.

Goes away? No, the 2B+ device ecosystem and recurring revenue remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -VIX rising toward 20
  • -Pre-FOMC volatility possible next week

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$321.61
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror