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Daily Run

2026-06-23 20:00:13

Watchful75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Fear & Greed at 28 with three panic headlines including 'worst week since 2022' and 'recession fears intensify'. However VIX remains below 25, only 2 consecutive down days, SPX above 50/200 DMA, and breadth not yet negative enough for macro trigger.

Fear/Greed

28

VIX

19.52

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Conditions show building fear but fall short of playbook thresholds (needs 3+ down days, VIX>25 or FG<25). No deployment yet.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$986.39

Above 50 DMA and only 3.61% off high; buy trigger requires 10% drawdown or macro fear confirmation.

HOLD
AAPL$294.52market_driven

Above 50 DMA; 7.21% drawdown approaching but not at 10% trigger. Irrational dip noted in sentiment data.

WATCH
VTI$364.32

Above 50 DMA with only 2.77% drawdown; macro fear not yet at deployment level.

HOLD
XLE$54.525market_driven

Below 50 DMA and 14.07% drawdown near 15% trigger; easing cycle supports but wait for confirmation.

WATCH

Irrational Dips

AAPL$294.527.21%

Strong buybacks and services growth overlooked amid macro rotation.

Goes away? No because 2B+ active devices and ecosystem lock-in remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -Tech sector rotation continuing
  • -Oil supply concerns pressuring XLE
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror