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Daily Run

2026-09-08 20:01:03

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Panic headlines present but quantitative triggers unmet: VIX at 15.5, Fear & Greed 41, only 2 down days, and SPX not below DMAs. Breadth weak with 6 of 8 sectors down.

Fear/Greed

41

VIX

15.5

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear buy signal fired; thresholds for VIX, Fear & Greed, and consecutive down days not reached.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$822.53market_driven

Below 50DMA and 23% drawdown from high, but macro fear insufficient to trigger deployment.

WATCH
AAPL$316.22

Price above 50DMA and drawdown under 10% threshold.

HOLD
VTI$377.67

Above 50DMA with only 1.93% drawdown.

HOLD
XLE$64.765

Above both DMAs with minimal drawdown.

HOLD
VMC$258.3market_driven

Below both DMAs and >15% drawdown, but macro conditions not supportive for entry.

WATCH
KULR$2.49

Never-sell flag false and does not meet conviction criteria.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$316.228.23%

Earnings beat but stock pressured by macro fears despite strong ecosystem moat.

Goes away? Is this company going away? No because 2B+ active devices and deepest consumer moat in tech.

Notable Risks

  • -SEP meeting volatility expected next week
  • -Breadth deterioration with only 2/8 sectors up

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$316.22
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror