◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-07-20 20:00:50

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Three consecutive down days and Fear & Greed at 38 meet the minimum consecutive-day trigger, but VIX remains below 25, drawdowns are modest, and zero panic headlines indicate only mild softness rather than building fear.

Fear/Greed

38

VIX

18.37

Down Days

3

Panic Headlines

0

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Consecutive down days hit the VTI-specific trigger but broader macro fear criteria (VIX, FG <25, drawdown) are not met; no deployment warranted.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$864.75market_driven

Below 50DMA and 19% drawdown from high, but macro fear signal too weak to trigger buy_on_macro_fear.

WATCH
AAPL$326.59

Price above 50DMA and only 2.5% off high; no buy triggers active.

HOLD
VTI$366.215

Slightly below 50DMA but drawdown only 2.26% (needs 5%) and macro fear insufficient.

WATCH
XLE$57.96

Above both 50DMA and 200DMA; no buy triggers met.

HOLD
VMC$280.716market_driven

Below 50/200DMA and 15% drawdown, but macro fear level does not justify deployment.

WATCH
KULR$2.76

Never-sell flag is false and macro conditions do not support buying.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Breadth weak (only 2 of 8 sectors up)
  • -CAT 19% drawdown could extend if macro softens further
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror