◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-06-30 20:00:57

All Clear85% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

No macro fear triggers active. VIX below 25, zero consecutive down days, Fear & Greed at 31 (above 25 threshold), and zero panic headlines. Broad indices trading above key DMAs with minimal drawdowns.

Fear/Greed

31

VIX

16.49

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

0

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

None of the macro fear triggers (consecutive down days, VIX>25, Fear&Greed<25, panic headlines, or 5%+ drawdown) are present.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$1063.63

Price well above 50dma and 200dma; only 0.92% off 52-week high.

HOLD
AAPL$289.36

Slightly below 50dma but drawdown of 8.83% does not meet 10% threshold and no macro fear backdrop.

HOLD
VTI$370.17

Trading above both 50dma and 200dma with minimal drawdown.

HOLD
XLE$53.14market_driven

Below 50dma with 16.26% drawdown meeting XLE criteria, but overall market conditions do not support deployment.

WATCH
VMC$294.58

Below 200dma but drawdown of 11.03% below 15% threshold.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -XLE weakness (16% drawdown, RSI 27)
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror