◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-07-28 20:01:00

Watchful72% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

No macro fear triggers active. VIX below 25, Fear & Greed at 38, zero consecutive down days, and zero panic headlines. Market showing mild softness but not matching playbook thresholds.

Fear/Greed

38

VIX

18.27

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

0

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

None of the macro fear triggers (VIX>25, FG<25, 3+ down days, panic headlines, 5% drawdown) are present. Pre-FOMC window adds rate uncertainty but no actual panic to act on.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$841.1market_driven

Below 50DMA and >10% from highs, but buy trigger requires macro fear which is absent. Pre-FOMC rate uncertainty may be contributing to the dip.

WATCH
AAPL$340.08

Near 52-week high and above 50DMA. No buy trigger conditions met.

HOLD
VTI$365.97

Only -2.33% drawdown and barely below 50DMA. Requires 5% drawdown plus macro fear for entry.

HOLD
XLE$57.55

Above 50DMA. No max drawdown trigger hit.

HOLD
VMC$288.784

Drawdown 12.78% but below 15% threshold. Above 50DMA.

HOLD
KULR$2.535

Never-sell flag is false and no macro fear present to justify entry.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Pre-FOMC volatility expected tomorrow
  • -CAT drawdown may reflect sector rotation rather than macro panic
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror