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Daily Run

2026-04-16 20:01:36

All Clear90% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market conditions show no signs of fear with indices mostly up, VIX below 25, and Fear & Greed in greed territory. Despite a few panic headlines, there are no consecutive down days or significant drawdowns. Overall sentiment is positive with no macro fear triggers met.

Fear/Greed

62

VIX

17.79

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear signals are active, as VIX is below 25, Fear & Greed is above 25, no consecutive down days, and SP500 is not below DMAs or in drawdown, so no buy opportunity per playbook.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$771.99

Price above 50DMA and drawdown from 52wk high is only 3.32%, below the 10% trigger; no macro fear to activate buy.

HOLD
AAPL$263.4

Price above 50DMA and drawdown from 52wk high is 8.74%, below the 10% trigger; no macro fear to activate buy.

HOLD
VTI$346.13

Price above 50DMA, drawdown from 52wk high is minimal at 0.15%, no consecutive down days, and no macro fear triggers met.

HOLD
XLE$56.6

Slightly below 50DMA but above 200DMA, drawdown from 52wk high is 10.81%, below the 15% max drawdown trigger.

HOLD
VMC$285.68

Below 50DMA and 200DMA, but drawdown from 52wk high is 13.72%, below the 15% max drawdown trigger.

HOLD
KULR$2.51market_driven

Below 50DMA and 200DMA with extreme drawdown of 82.37% exceeding 15% trigger, but monitor as never_sell is false and no macro fear confirmation.

WATCH

Notable Risks

  • -Energy sector (XLE) shows low RSI at 28.42 indicating potential oversold conditions despite today's gain
  • -Panic headlines present despite market gains, could signal mismatched sentiment if fundamentals weaken
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted