◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-06-17 20:00:04

Watchful75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Mild fear signals present with one matching panic headline and all sectors down, but consecutive down days only at 2, VIX below 25, and Fear & Greed at 33. SPX remains above key DMAs with limited drawdown.

Fear/Greed

33

VIX

18.71

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

1

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Does not meet minimum macro fear triggers (needs 3 down days, VIX>25 or FG<25). Pre-FOMC uncertainty contributing to softness.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$955.25

Price above 50DMA and only 2% off highs; no buy triggers met.

HOLD
AAPL$295.92market_driven

Above 50DMA; 6.77% drawdown below 10% threshold.

WATCH
VTI$365.73

Above 50DMA with only 2.39% drawdown.

HOLD
XLE$54.645market_driven

Below 50DMA and 13.89% drawdown; easing cycle supportive but pre-FOMC timing suggests waiting.

WATCH
VMC$294.755

Above both DMAs; drawdown under 15% threshold.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$295.926.77%

Strong buybacks and services growth overlooked amid macro rotation.

Goes away? No because Apple retains 2B+ active devices and ecosystem lock-in.

Notable Risks

  • -SEP dot plot volatility today
  • -Energy sector drawdown near 14%
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror