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Daily Run

2026-04-14 20:00:50

Watchful75% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

The market closed higher today with no consecutive down days and VIX below the 25 threshold, indicating limited immediate fear. However, three panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'market crash' suggest recent turmoil that warrants monitoring. Overall, fear is building but not yet elevated without supporting quantitative triggers.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

18.41

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No quantitative triggers met, such as consecutive down days, VIX above 25, or S&P 500 drawdown; panic headlines are present but market is up today, so no buy signal.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$794.18

Price above 50-day MA and drawdown from 52-week high only 0.55%, not meeting buy triggers.

HOLD
AAPL$258.79market_driven

Price below 50-day MA and drawdown from 52-week high exceeds 10%, matching buy triggers; social sentiment points to irrational dip from supply chain rumors without fundamental issues.

BUY
VTI$342.64

Price above 50-day MA, minimal drawdown from 52-week high, and no consecutive down days, not meeting buy triggers.

HOLD
XLE$55.93

Price below 50-day MA but above 200-day MA and drawdown from 52-week high at 11.87% below 15% threshold, not fully meeting buy triggers.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Geopolitical tensions causing oil price volatility and energy sector weakness, as seen in XLE's 2% drop
  • -Tech earnings disappointment fears potentially pressuring stocks like AAPL further

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLconviction$258.79
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted