◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-04-28 20:00:26

Watchful75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows mild downside with some indices down around 0.5-1%, but drawdowns are minimal and Fear & Greed Index indicates greed at 64. VIX remains low at 18.05, not signaling elevated fear, though 3 panic headlines suggest building narrative-driven concern. Overall, conditions do not meet core panic triggers like 3+ consecutive down days or VIX above 25.

Fear/Greed

64

VIX

18.05

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Triggers for macro fear buying are not met, with only 1 consecutive down day, Fear & Greed at 64 (greed), VIX below 25, and SP500 drawdown under 5%; however, panic headlines and pre-FOMC timing warrant monitoring for potential escalation.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$818.09

Price above 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high at -3.22% below 10% threshold; does not meet buy triggers despite easing cycle tailwind.

HOLD
AAPL$270.71

Price above 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high at -6.21% below 10% threshold; buy triggers not activated.

HOLD
VTI$350.64

Price above 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high at -0.62% below 5%, and only 1 consecutive down day; does not meet buy criteria.

HOLD
XLE$57.72

Price slightly above 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high at -9.05% below 15% trigger; not below both 50DMA and 200DMA.

HOLD
VMC$291.47

Price above 50DMA and drawdown from 52-week high at -11.97% below 15% trigger; not below both 50DMA and 200DMA.

HOLD
KULR$2.43market_driven

Price below both 50DMA and 200DMA with drawdown from 52-week high at -82.94% exceeding 15% trigger; matches buy criteria for this position.

BUY

Notable Risks

  • -Pre-FOMC volatility could lead to short-term whipsaw regardless of decision
  • -Headline-driven narratives may not align with underlying data, risking false signals

Signals Fired (1)

KULRconviction$2.43
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror