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Daily Run

2026-05-12 20:01:02

Watchful80% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Although the Fear & Greed Index indicates greed at 67 and VIX is low at 18.05 with minimal drawdowns, there are 8 panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'market crash,' suggesting building fear sentiment. Quantitative triggers such as consecutive down days and drawdowns are not met, indicating mixed conditions. Market performance is mixed with slight declines in major indices but no broad panic.

Fear/Greed

67

VIX

18.05

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

8

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Panic headlines are present, aligning with sentiment triggers, but quantitative metrics like VIX above 25, fear-greed below 25, and SP500 drawdown of 5% are not met; monitor for potential escalation into a buy signal.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$912.185

Price is above 50DMA and drawdown of 2.06% is below the 10% trigger; does not meet buy criteria despite easing cycle tailwind.

HOLD
AAPL$294.8

Price is above 50DMA and drawdown of 0.16% is below the 10% trigger; does not meet buy criteria.

HOLD
VTI$362.74

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown of 0.48% is below 5%, and consecutive down days at 1 is below 3; does not meet buy triggers.

HOLD
XLE$57.57

Slightly below 50DMA but above 200DMA with drawdown of 9.28% below 15%; does not fully meet buy triggers.

HOLD
VMC$279.38market_driven

Below both 50DMA and 200DMA with drawdown of 15.62% exceeding 15% trigger; aligns with infrastructure thesis and easing cycle tailwind.

BUY
KULR$3.187fundamental

Below 200DMA with significant drawdown of 77.62% exceeding 15% trigger, though above 50DMA; fits bizarre pivot thesis but monitor due to high volatility.

WATCH

Notable Risks

  • -Geopolitical tensions driving oil price volatility and energy sector impacts
  • -Tech sector bearish sentiment from earnings disappointments
  • -Inflation speculation and retail investor volatility concerns potentially amplifying headline-driven fear

Guardrail Overrides

  • KULR: overrode buy → watch. Price $3.187 is above 50DMA $2.58

Signals Fired (1)

VMCconviction$279.38
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror