◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-04-26 20:00:56

Watchful75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Market indices showed gains today with no consecutive down days and VIX below 25, indicating limited quantitative fear. However, three panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'panic selling' suggest building sentiment-driven concern amid mixed sector performance. Fear & Greed in greed territory counters this, but breadth shows more down sectors, warranting monitoring.

Fear/Greed

66

VIX

18.71

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Quantitative triggers like consecutive down days (0 < 3), VIX (18.71 < 25), Fear & Greed (66 > 25), and SP500 drawdown (0% < 5%) are not met, so no buy signal. Panic headlines provide a soft watchful signal, but no action required yet.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$830.79

Price above 50DMA (830.79 > 741.81) and drawdown from 52wk high (1.71% < 10%), so not in buy zone. Macro fear not triggered for additional buy.

HOLD
AAPL$271.06

Price above 50DMA (271.06 > 260.15) and drawdown from 52wk high (6.08% < 10%), so not in buy zone. Macro fear not triggered.

HOLD
VTI$352.05

Price above 50DMA (352.05 > 334.1), drawdown from 52wk high (0.09% < 5%), and consecutive down days (0 < 3), so not in buy zone.

HOLD
XLE$56.87

Below 50DMA (56.87 < 57.28) but above 200DMA (56.87 > 48.17) and drawdown (10.38% < 15%), so does not fully meet buy triggers.

HOLD
VMC$292.07

Above 50DMA (292.07 > 286.29) and above 200DMA (292.07 > 291.1), drawdown (11.79% < 15%), so not in buy zone.

HOLD
KULR$2.41market_driven

Below 50DMA (2.41 < 2.61) and below 200DMA (2.41 < 3.83), drawdown (83.08% > 15%), meeting buy triggers. Watch for macro fear alignment, but no strong signal today.

WATCH

Notable Risks

  • -Pre-FOMC volatility could spike with rate decision uncertainty
  • -Mixed sector breadth with energy and healthcare weakness amid geopolitical tensions
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror