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Daily Run

2026-05-07 20:00:49

Opportunity70% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Major indices experienced modest declines today with negative breadth across all sectors, but quantitative triggers like VIX, Fear & Greed, and drawdown levels do not indicate elevated fear. However, social sentiment is bearish, and there are 8 panic headlines matching playbook keywords, suggesting fear is building despite mild market action. This aligns with the 'worst week since' headline trigger as a soft buy signal.

Fear/Greed

68

VIX

17.12

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

8

Macro Action

BUY VTIDeploy: opportunity

Panic headlines match multiple sentiment triggers in the playbook, indicating building fear and a soft buy signal, even though quantitative metrics like consecutive down days, VIX, and drawdown are not fully met.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$895.26

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high is only 3.88% (below 10% trigger), and macro fear is not sufficient to activate buy_on_macro_fear.

HOLD
AAPL$287.423

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high is only 1.61% (below 10% trigger), and macro fear is not sufficient to activate buy_on_macro_fear.

HOLD
VTI$360.095

Price is above 50DMA, drawdown from 52-week high is only 0.72% (below 5% trigger), and consecutive down days are 1 (below 3 trigger); macro action is handled separately.

HOLD
XLE$55.97

Price is below 50DMA but above 200DMA, and drawdown from 52-week high is 11.8% (below 15% trigger); does not meet all buy conditions.

HOLD
VMC$288.9

Price is above 50DMA but below 200DMA, and drawdown from 52-week high is 12.74% (below 15% trigger); does not meet all buy conditions.

HOLD
KULR$2.75

Price is above 50DMA but below 200DMA; while drawdown from 52-week high is 80.69% (above 15% trigger), it does not meet the below 50DMA condition.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Disconnect between panic headlines and mild quantitative declines may mean fear is overblown and could resolve quickly without deeper sell-off.
  • -Bearish crypto sentiment and sector weakness in energy/industrials could spill over if geopolitical tensions escalate.

Signals Fired (1)

VTImacro_fear$731.575
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror