◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-09-23 20:00:11

All Clear75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

No macro fear triggers met. VIX low, fear-greed at 35, only 2 down days, and SPX above key DMAs. Panic headlines present but insufficient to activate playbook.

Fear/Greed

35

VIX

15.23

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

Macro conditions do not meet minimum thresholds for fear-based buying (VIX<25, FG>25, <3 down days).

Conviction Stocks

CAT$811.67market_driven

Price below 50DMA and 24%+ drawdown from highs during easing cycle; meets CAT buy triggers.

BUY
AAPL$336.86

Trading above 50DMA with minimal drawdown; no trigger activated.

HOLD
VTI$378.17

Slightly above 50DMA and small drawdown; macro fear not confirmed.

HOLD
XLE$62.375

Above 50DMA; no buy trigger.

HOLD
VMC$244.635market_driven

Significant drawdown below both DMAs; meets infrastructure conviction criteria.

BUY
KULR$2.425market_driven

Below DMAs but never-sell flag is false; speculative position only.

WATCH

Irrational Dips

AAPL$336.862.46%

Strong fundamentals and ecosystem moat ignored amid sector rotation.

Goes away? No, 2B+ active devices and recurring revenue base remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -Small-cap weakness (IWM -7.6% drawdown)
  • -XLI and XLRE sector drawdowns >9%

Signals Fired (3)

AAPLirrational_dip$336.86
BUY
VMCconviction$244.635
BUY
CATconviction$811.67
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror