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Daily Run

2026-09-13 20:00:30

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Markets closed higher with zero consecutive down days and VIX below 16. Two panic headlines appeared but quantitative triggers (VIX>25, FG<25, SPX drawdown>5%, below DMAs) are not met. Pre-FOMC rate uncertainty is the dominant driver.

Fear/Greed

33

VIX

15.84

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

No macro fear playbook triggers active; pre-meeting window explains mild headline noise without sustained selling.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$818.57market_driven

Below 50DMA and >10% off high but macro fear not confirmed; easing cycle supports thesis long-term.

WATCH
AAPL$332.27

Above 50DMA with only 3.57% drawdown; not in buy zone per triggers.

HOLD
VTI$376.31

Above 50DMA and minimal drawdown; no consecutive down days.

HOLD
XLE$65.14

Above both DMAs with low drawdown.

HOLD
VMC$252.74market_driven

Below 50DMA and 23.66% drawdown but macro confirmation absent.

WATCH
KULR$2.38market_driven

Never-sell flag is false; high volatility name outside core conviction.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$332.273.57%

Strong fundamentals and ecosystem moat ignored amid broad tech rotation and pre-FOMC caution.

Goes away? No because 2B+ active devices and recurring revenue base remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -SEP dot-plot volatility on 9/16
  • -Small-cap underperformance (IWM -5.34% drawdown)

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$332.27
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror