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Daily Run

2026-02-18 16:37:05

All Clear90% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market indices are up today with positive changes across major benchmarks, indicating a recovery rather than ongoing panic. Despite three panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'recession fears,' quantitative triggers such as VIX above 25, consecutive down days, and significant drawdowns are not met. Sentiment shows some caution in tech and crypto, but overall breadth is positive with more up sectors.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

18.84

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers are activated—consecutive down days are 0, VIX is below 25, fear-greed is unavailable but not below 25, and S&P 500 drawdown is only -1.01%. Panic headlines are present but not supported by market data showing gains today.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$771.4

Price is above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown from 52-week high is -2.33%, below the 10% trigger. No macro fear signal to activate buying.

HOLD
AAPL$266.42

Price is slightly below 50DMA but drawdown from 52-week high is -7.69%, below the 10% trigger. No macro fear signal to activate buying.

HOLD
VTI$340.055

Price is above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown from 52-week high is -1.27%, below the 5% trigger. Consecutive down days are 0, and no macro fear triggers met.

HOLD
XLE$54.505

Price is above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown from 52-week high is -1.33%, below the 15% trigger.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Lingering bearish sentiment in tech sector due to earnings disappointment
  • -Bearish crypto market with heavy selling pressure from regulatory news
  • -Geopolitical tensions potentially impacting oil prices and energy sector volatility
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted