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Daily Run

2026-04-02 20:00:22

Watchful75% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows some signs of fear with a 5.37% drawdown from 30-day high, below 50DMA, and 3 panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'panic selling'. However, VIX is just below 25, fear-greed is unavailable, consecutive down days are 0, and breadth is positive with more up sectors. Overall, fear is building but not yet elevated, especially as major indices closed slightly up today.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

24.76

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Macro fear is building with drawdown >5% and below 50DMA, but consecutive down days are 0 (below min 3), VIX <25, and today was up, so no buy signal triggered yet; monitor for escalation.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$717.52

Price is above 50DMA (717.52 > 711.28) and drawdown from 52wk high is 9.15% (<10%), so buy triggers not met; hold per never_sell rule.

HOLD
AAPL$255.92market_driven

Price below 50DMA (255.92 < 260.36) and drawdown from 52wk high 11.33% (>10%), with macro fear building; social sentiment indicates irrational dip due to supply chain rumors despite strong fundamentals, aligning with buy_on_macro_fear.

BUY
VTI$323.72

Below 50DMA and drawdown 6.01% (>5%), but consecutive down days 0 (<3), so not all buy triggers met; aligns with macro watch action.

HOLD
XLE$59.265

Price above 50DMA (59.265 > 55.62) and above 200DMA, drawdown 6.61% (<15%), so buy triggers not met; hold per never_sell.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Geopolitical tensions driving oil price volatility
  • -Tech sector bearish sentiment amid earnings disappointment fears
  • -Recession fears mounting per headlines, potentially pressuring broader market
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted