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Daily Run

2026-04-16 02:00:25

Watchful80% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Major indices showed gains today with no consecutive down days and VIX at a moderate level, indicating limited quantitative fear. However, 3 panic headlines matching keywords suggest some building sentiment of concern. Overall, fear is not elevated as market performance remains positive.

Fear/Greed

N/A

VIX

18.17

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Panic headlines are present, but quantitative triggers like consecutive down days, VIX above 25, fear-greed below 25, and S&P 500 drawdown are not met, so no buy signal; worth monitoring for escalation.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$770.17

Price is above 50-day MA, drawdown from 52-week high is only 3.55% (below 10% threshold), and no macro fear trigger activated.

HOLD
AAPL$266.43

Price is above 50-day MA, drawdown from 52-week high is 7.69% (below 10% threshold), and no macro fear trigger activated.

HOLD
VTI$345.24

Price is above 50-day MA, drawdown from 52-week high is minimal at 0.05% (below 5% threshold), and no consecutive down days or macro fear triggers met.

HOLD
XLE$55.76market_driven

Price is below 50-day MA with low RSI at 29.11, but not below 200-day MA and drawdown from 52-week high is 12.13% (below 15% trigger); sector sentiment is bullish, suggesting potential opportunity if conditions worsen.

WATCH

Notable Risks

  • -Geopolitical tensions impacting oil prices and energy sector
  • -Tech earnings disappointment fears amid bearish technology sentiment
  • -Recession fears from panic headlines potentially leading to volatility
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted