2026-03-17 20:07:44
Market shows some softness with SP500 below 50DMA and low RSI across indices, but no consecutive down days and VIX below 25 indicate fear is not yet elevated. Panic headlines are present, suggesting building sentiment-driven pressure amid pre-FOMC uncertainty. Overall, conditions point to watchful monitoring rather than strong panic.
Fear/Greed
-1
VIX
22.45
Down Days
0
Panic Headlines
3
Macro fear triggers are partially met with headlines and below 50DMA, but consecutive down days are 0, VIX is below 25, and drawdown is under 5%, so no buy signal; monitor for escalation post-FOMC.
Drawdown exceeds 10% at -11.05%, but price is above 50DMA, so does not fully meet buy triggers; building macro fear and easing cycle tailwind suggest watching for further dip.
Below 50DMA and drawdown exceeds 10% at -11.92%, meeting individual triggers, but macro fear is only building, not fully triggered; pre-FOMC timing warrants caution before buying.
Below 50DMA but drawdown at -4.02% is under 5% threshold, and consecutive down days are 0, so no buy zone; hold per never-sell philosophy.
Above both 50DMA and 200DMA with minimal drawdown at -0.93%, well below 15% trigger; bullish sector sentiment supports holding.
Recent sell-off due to supply chain rumors, despite strong fundamentals and upcoming product launches, with no fundamental connection to core thesis.
Goes away? Is this company going away? No because deepest consumer moat in tech with 2B+ active devices; people don't leave the ecosystem.
Stock down on cyclical fears, but infrastructure bill optimism not priced in, and dip appears market-driven without fundamental issues.
Goes away? Is this company going away? No because America will always build; CAT is the dominant heavy equipment company globally.