2026-03-24 20:00:39
Market shows elevated fear with VIX above 25, S&P 500 drawdown exceeding 5% from recent high, and multiple panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'panic selling'. However, only one consecutive down day and breadth not fully negative temper the intensity. This aligns with building panic but not yet full capitulation.
Fear/Greed
-1
VIX
26.83
Down Days
1
Panic Headlines
3
Triggers met include VIX >25, S&P 500 drawdown >5%, below 50DMA, and panic headlines; deploy 20% dry powder on fear building despite only 1 down day.
Price above 50DMA and drawdown -9.27% not reaching 10% threshold; no buy trigger despite macro fear.
Below 50DMA, drawdown -12.81% exceeds 10%, and macro fear active; scale in per playbook.
Below 50DMA, drawdown -6.15% exceeds 5%, and macro fear triggers; primary instrument for fear buying.
Above 50DMA and 200DMA, drawdown -1.04% not reaching 15%; overbought RSI indicates no dip.
Sell-off due to supply chain fears appears overblown given Apple's strong fundamentals, cash reserves, and ecosystem moat.
Goes away? Is this company going away? No because of its 2B+ active devices and deep consumer moat; people don't leave the ecosystem.