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Daily Run

2026-08-13 20:00:42

All Clear90% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Markets closed higher with SPY/QQQ above 50DMA and 200DMA. VIX at 14.64 and Fear & Greed at 66 (greed) show no fear conditions. Headlines contain panic keywords but quantitative triggers are absent.

Fear/Greed

66

VIX

14.64

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers met: 0 down days, VIX well below 25, Fear & Greed far above 25, no drawdown.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$854.6market_driven

Below 50DMA and 20%+ from high but macro fear absent so no deployment.

WATCH
AAPL$305.26market_driven

Below 50DMA with 11% drawdown but no macro fear signal active.

WATCH
VTI$384.36

Near highs, above DMAs, no fear conditions.

HOLD
XLE$61.04

Above 50DMA and 200DMA.

HOLD
VMC$277.59

Above 200DMA, no macro fear.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$305.2611.41%

Strong buybacks and services growth ignored in broad selloff

Goes away? No, 2B+ active devices and ecosystem lock-in remain intact.

CAT$854.620.39%

Infrastructure demand remains robust despite macro fears

Goes away? No, America will always build and CAT is dominant globally.

Notable Risks

  • -Headline panic keywords present despite positive price action

Signals Fired (1)

CATirrational_dip$854.6
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror