◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-06-18 20:00:04

All Clear85% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Market closed strongly higher with zero consecutive down days and VIX at 16.5. Fear & Greed at 37 and two recession/crash headlines exist but price action shows no panic or capitulation.

Fear/Greed

37

VIX

16.5

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers met: VIX below 25, FG above 25, zero down days, indices above 50/200 DMA.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$990.36

Price above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown only 0.42%.

HOLD
AAPL$298.26

Above 50DMA; drawdown 6% below 10% trigger.

HOLD
VTI$370.48

Above 50DMA and 200DMA; drawdown 1.13%.

HOLD
XLE$53.715market_driven

Below 50DMA with 15.36% drawdown; monitor for further weakness.

WATCH
VMC$303.84

Above 50DMA though below 200DMA; drawdown 8.23%.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$298.266.03%

Broad tech pullback despite strong fundamentals and ecosystem moat.

Goes away? No, 2B+ active devices and recurring revenue base remain intact.

CAT$990.360.42%

Industrial demand robust amid easing cycle tailwinds.

Goes away? No, infrastructure spending and global construction needs persist.

Notable Risks

  • -XLE 15% drawdown and below 50DMA
  • -Two recession/crash headlines despite green close

Signals Fired (2)

CATirrational_dip$990.36
BUY
AAPLirrational_dip$298.26
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror