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Daily Run

2026-03-26 20:00:39

Opportunity85% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows elevated fear with VIX above 25, multiple panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'market crash', and SP500 drawdown exceeding 5% while below 50DMA. However, consecutive down days are only 1, and Fear & Greed data is unavailable. Breadth is negative with most sectors down, but not extreme.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

28.2

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

BUY VTIDeploy: opportunity

Fear building with VIX >25, panic headlines present, SP500 drawdown >5%, and below 50DMA, triggering a soft buy signal for deploying 20% dry powder into VTI as the primary macro fear instrument.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$703.03market_driven

Price below 50DMA and drawdown from 52wk high >10%, combined with macro fear triggers and easing cycle tailwind strengthening the signal for industrials.

BUY
AAPL$252.89market_driven

Price below 50DMA and drawdown from 52wk high >10%, aligning with macro fear buy triggers despite slight positive change today.

BUY
VTI$319.675market_driven

Price below 50DMA, drawdown >5%, and macro fear conditions met, warranting accumulation as the core index holding.

BUY
XLE$61.53

Price above 50DMA and 200DMA, drawdown <15%, and positive change today with overbought RSI, not meeting buy triggers.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Geopolitical tensions driving oil volatility and potential broader market impact
  • -Tech sector weakness from earnings fears amid bearish sentiment
  • -Persistent inflation speculation could pressure rate expectations

Signals Fired (3)

CATconviction$703.03
BUY
VTImacro_fear$645.17
BUY
AAPLconviction$252.89
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted