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Daily Run

2026-04-16 02:10:44

Watchful80% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market indices showed positive performance today with SPY and QQQ up, but 3 panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'market crash' indicate building fear. Quantitative triggers such as VIX above 25, fear-greed below 25, and consecutive down days are not met. Breadth shows slight negativity with 62.5% down sectors, close to the 65% threshold.

Fear/Greed

56

VIX

18.17

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

3

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No primary macro fear triggers are activated, including consecutive down days, low fear-greed, high VIX, or significant drawdown; hold position despite some headlines.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$770.17

Price above 50DMA and drawdown of 3.55% below 10% threshold; no macro fear signal to trigger buy.

HOLD
AAPL$266.43

Price above 50DMA and drawdown of 7.69% below 10% threshold; no macro fear signal to trigger buy.

HOLD
VTI$345.24

Price above 50DMA, drawdown of 0.05% below 5% threshold, and 0 consecutive down days; no triggers met.

HOLD
XLE$55.76market_driven

Price below 50DMA, which is a specified buy trigger; drawdown of 12.13% approaching 15% max trigger, with low RSI indicating oversold conditions amid overall market strength.

BUY

Notable Risks

  • -Energy sector weakness despite bullish social sentiment and rising oil prices
  • -Mixed sector performance with potential spillover from tech and real estate bearishness

Signals Fired (1)

XLEconviction$55.76
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted