2026-08-18 20:00:41
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Three consecutive down days and matching panic headlines ('worst week since', 'market crash') are present. However VIX at 15.7 and Fear & Greed at 54 remain well below trigger thresholds, indicating only modest fear building.
Fear/Greed
54
VIX
15.7
Down Days
3
Panic Headlines
2
Consecutive down days match one VTI trigger but VIX, Fear & Greed, and broad index positioning do not meet full macro fear criteria for deployment.
Below 50 DMA and >10% drawdown from high; macro fear not yet strong enough for tranche entry.
Slightly above 50 DMA and RSI extremely low but drawdown exactly at threshold; wait for clearer macro confirmation.
Above 50 DMA with only 1.57% drawdown; does not meet buy triggers.
Near 52-week high and above both DMAs; no dip present.
Below both DMAs with 17.9% drawdown; monitor for macro confirmation before buying.
Large drawdown but never-sell flag is false and thesis is speculative; not a conviction buy.
Strong ecosystem and cash flows but pulled back on broad tech sell-off.
Goes away? No because 2B+ active devices and recurring revenue remain intact.
Beaten down on macro fear despite positive infrastructure outlook.
Goes away? No because America will always build and CAT remains the dominant global player.