◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-08-03 20:00:21

All Clear85% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

No fear triggers active. Markets closed higher with VIX subdued at 15.7 and Fear & Greed neutral at 46. Zero consecutive down days and no panic headlines detected.

Fear/Greed

46

VIX

15.7

Down Days

0

Panic Headlines

0

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear conditions met: VIX below 25, Fear & Greed above 25, zero down days, and SPX above 50/200 DMA.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$831.43

Below 50 DMA and 22.55% off highs but buy_on_macro_fear trigger not satisfied; no market panic present.

HOLD
AAPL$303.39

11.95% drawdown and below 50 DMA but requires macro fear confirmation which is absent.

HOLD
VTI$373.82

Near 52-week high with positive price action; none of the four buy triggers active.

HOLD
XLE$58.785

Above 50/200 DMA; 7.37% drawdown does not meet max_drawdown_trigger of 15%.

HOLD
VMC$283.65

Above 200 DMA and only 14.33% off highs; no macro fear to activate buy.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$303.3911.95%

Strong services growth and buyback program not reflected in price action

Goes away? Is this company going away? No because 2B+ active devices and deepest consumer ecosystem moat in tech remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -Election uncertainty
  • -Q3 earnings volatility
  • -China stimulus outcomes

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$303.39
BUY
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