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Daily Run

2026-06-09 20:00:18

Watchful75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Mild fear signals present with 2 panic headlines and Fear & Greed at 32, but VIX only 20.15, only 1 down day, and SPX above both DMAs. Social sentiment shows cautious optimism rather than capitulation.

Fear/Greed

32

VIX

20.15

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

No macro fear triggers met (needs 3+ down days, VIX>25, or FG<25). Headlines exist but conditions do not justify deployment.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$915.43

Above 50DMA with only 3.32% drawdown from high.

HOLD
AAPL$290.38market_driven

8.51% drawdown but still above 50DMA; irrational dip noted but not yet at scale-in levels.

WATCH
VTI$363.73

Minor 2.93% drawdown, above DMAs.

HOLD
XLE$57.349market_driven

Below 50DMA with 9.63% drawdown and low RSI; easing cycle supports but not yet strong buy.

WATCH
VMC$279.27market_driven

15.65% drawdown and below both DMAs; monitor for further weakness.

WATCH

Irrational Dips

AAPL$290.388.51%

Strong fundamentals and ecosystem moat ignored amid broad tech rotation.

Goes away? No because 2B+ active devices and sticky ecosystem remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -SEP meeting volatility expected next week
  • -XLE and VMC showing technical weakness

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$290.38
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror