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Daily Run

2026-05-18 20:00:54

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Markets show minimal fear with only 2 consecutive down days, VIX at 18, and Fear & Greed at 62 (greed). Two 'worst week since' headlines exist but are not supported by breadth, drawdowns, or volatility metrics.

Fear/Greed

62

VIX

18.06

Down Days

2

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

HOLD VTI

No macro fear triggers met: below 3 down days, VIX under 25, Fear & Greed well above 25, and indices above 50/200 DMA.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$863.81

Drawdown of 7.25% from high but still above 50 DMA; does not meet 10% drawdown or macro fear buy triggers.

HOLD
AAPL$297.84

Only 1.77% off high and well above DMAs with elevated RSI; no buy signal.

HOLD
VTI$362.42

Minimal 1.58% drawdown and above both DMAs; macro conditions not met.

HOLD
XLE$60.55

Above 50/200 DMA with only 4.59% drawdown.

HOLD
VMC$266.23market_driven

19.59% drawdown and below both DMAs; monitor for further weakness but not yet at max drawdown trigger.

WATCH
KULR$3.915

Never-sell flag is false and extreme volatility makes it unsuitable for playbook deployment.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -Tech RSI overbought above 75
  • -Small-cap drawdowns near 4%
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror