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Daily Run

2026-09-09 20:01:34

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Three consecutive down days and two panic headlines present mild fear signals. However VIX remains low at 16.39 and Fear & Greed at 39 fails to meet the <25 threshold, so conditions do not yet qualify as strong opportunity.

Fear/Greed

39

VIX

16.39

Down Days

3

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Consecutive down days and headlines meet minimum criteria but VIX and Fear & Greed readings are insufficient for deployment. Continue monitoring.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$816.05market_driven

Below 50DMA and 23.98% drawdown from high meets price triggers, but macro fear not strong enough for buy signal today.

WATCH
AAPL$315.34

Drawdown 8.48% below the 10% trigger; price near 50DMA.

HOLD
VTI$375.61

Price above 50DMA and drawdown only 2.47%, below 5% threshold.

HOLD
XLE$65.31

Price above both 50DMA and 200DMA with minimal drawdown.

HOLD
VMC$249.87market_driven

Below 50DMA and 200DMA with 24.53% drawdown, but macro conditions not sufficient for action.

WATCH

Irrational Dips

AAPL$315.348.48%

Strong fundamentals and ecosystem moat ignored amid broad tech rotation.

Goes away? Is this company going away? No because 2B+ active devices and sticky consumer ecosystem remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -Upcoming SEP meeting volatility on 9/16
  • -Weak jobs data driving current headlines

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$315.34
BUY
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