◆ iron harvest
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Daily Run

2026-09-10 20:00:38

Watchful65% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Four consecutive down days and two panic headlines meet minimum triggers, but VIX remains below 25 and Fear & Greed at 35 (not <25) so fear is present but not extreme. Breadth is weak with only 1 sector up.

Fear/Greed

35

VIX

17.86

Down Days

4

Panic Headlines

2

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

Consecutive down days and headlines qualify for monitoring but quantitative thresholds (VIX, FG) not fully met; no deployment yet.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$805market_driven

Price below 50DMA and 25% drawdown from high during macro fear; easing cycle supports industrials.

BUY
AAPL$326.57

Price above 50DMA and only 5% off high; not in buy zone.

HOLD
VTI$373.22

Slightly below 50DMA but drawdown only 3%; wait for stronger signal.

WATCH
XLE$64.93

Above both DMAs with minimal drawdown.

HOLD
VMC$250.565market_driven

24% drawdown, below both DMAs, market-driven dip in infrastructure name.

BUY
KULR$2.34market_driven

Deep drawdown but never-sell flag is false; speculative name.

WATCH

Irrational Dips

AAPL$326.575.22%

Strong fundamentals and ecosystem ignored in broad rotation.

Goes away? No because 2B+ active devices and durable consumer demand persist.

Notable Risks

  • -SEP meeting volatility in 6 days
  • -Small-cap underperformance (IWM -5.7%)

Signals Fired (2)

VMCconviction$250.565
BUY
CATconviction$805
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror