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Daily Run

2026-06-16 20:00:04

Watchful75% confidence

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Macro Fear Assessment

Single panic headline and Fear & Greed at 39 show mild concern, but VIX at 16.1, only 1 down day, and indices above 50/200 DMA mean conditions fall short of playbook triggers.

Fear/Greed

39

VIX

16.1

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

1

Macro Action

WATCH VTI

No macro fear thresholds met (needs 3+ down days, VIX>25, FG<25). Pre-FOMC window adds uncertainty but does not justify deployment.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$946.75

Price well above 50DMA with only 1.52% drawdown from high.

HOLD
AAPL$299.14market_driven

5.75% drawdown but still above 50DMA; irrational dip noted but not at scale-in levels.

WATCH
VTI$370.445

Above 50DMA with minimal 1.14% drawdown.

HOLD
XLE$55.325

Below 50DMA and 12.8% drawdown but short of 15% max trigger.

WATCH
VMC$300.73

Above 50DMA and only 9.17% drawdown.

HOLD

Irrational Dips

AAPL$299.145.75%

Strong fundamentals and ecosystem moat ignored amid broad tech rotation.

Goes away? No, 2B+ active devices and recurring revenue base remain intact.

Notable Risks

  • -Tomorrow's SEP/dot-plot volatility
  • -Oil supply concerns pressuring XLE

Signals Fired (1)

AAPLirrational_dip$299.14
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailerror