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Daily Run

2026-03-18 20:01:02

Opportunity75% confidence

Macro Fear Assessment

Market shows elevated fear with multiple panic headlines matching keywords like 'worst week since' and 'market crash,' despite only one consecutive down day and VIX just below 25. Indices are broadly down, with low RSIs indicating oversold conditions, but drawdown is slightly below the 5% threshold. This aligns with building panic, amplified by FOMC meeting day volatility.

Fear/Greed

-1

VIX

24.51

Down Days

1

Panic Headlines

8

Macro Action

BUY VTIDeploy: opportunity

Panic headlines and market drawdown meet partial macro fear triggers, signaling fear building as a soft buy opportunity; deploy 20% dry powder into VTI amid broader sell-off, noting FOMC uncertainty may resolve soon.

Conviction Stocks

CAT$693.85market_driven

Price below 50DMA and drawdown over 10% from 52-week high, triggered by macro fear in an easing cycle which strengthens the buy signal for infrastructure plays.

BUY
AAPL$249.94market_driven

Price below 50DMA and drawdown over 10% from 52-week high, aligned with macro fear buying trigger and strong consumer moat thesis.

BUY
VTI$326.07market_driven

Price below 50DMA and drawdown over 5% from 52-week high, with macro fear elements present despite only one consecutive down day.

BUY
XLE$58.44

Price above 50DMA and drawdown under 15%, not meeting buy triggers despite overall market fear; energy sector shows relative strength.

HOLD

Notable Risks

  • -FOMC decision or hawkish dot plot could extend sell-off if rates surprise higher
  • -Geopolitical tensions boosting oil may offset broader market recovery if energy diverges

Signals Fired (1)

CATconviction$693.85
BUY
SourcesYahoo FinanceFear & GreedFREDGrok SentimentGrok AnalysisNotificationsSMSEmailcompleted